Published Nov 4, 2024

Prof G Markets: Meta’s AI Promise, Microsoft’s Disappointing Beat & Why Google Should Spin Youtube

Scott Galloway examines the latest shifts in tech and media, analyzing the market's reaction to earnings from giants like Google, Microsoft, and Meta, alongside a deep dive into the burgeoning AI sector led by Elon Musk. He also predicts political changes ahead with a potential Kamala Harris presidency and explores the evolving ad revenue dynamics between traditional and digital media.
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  • XAI Strategy

    XAI, Elon Musk's AI venture, aims to differentiate itself in the competitive landscape by building its own data centers and frontier models, unlike OpenAI, which relies on partnerships for compute resources. highlights that Musk's leadership allows XAI to raise significant capital, but questions the valuation, comparing it unfavorably to Anthropic, a more established player 1. Despite Musk's influence, Galloway remains skeptical about XAI's potential to compete effectively, citing its distant position in the market 2.

    I think this is Musk's next opportunity to turn $40 billion into 10.

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    Mylett notes that XAI's ambition to own its entire supply chain is rare, but Galloway doubts its financial capacity to sustain such independence 2.

       

    AI Spending

    The AI spending race among tech giants like Microsoft, Meta, and Alphabet is reshaping market dynamics, with these companies projected to spend over $150 billion on CapEx in 2024. points out that this massive investment supports Nvidia's market position, as these firms account for a significant portion of its sales 3. compares this spending spree to the COVID stimulus, suggesting that over-investment is seen as less risky than falling behind in AI innovation 3.

    You got to think, the CEO says, with a stock at an all time high, with access to cheap capital, I'm not going to be the CEO that missed on AI.

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    Mylett observes that despite strong earnings, companies like Microsoft and Meta face high expectations, with any shortfall impacting stock performance 4.

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