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Published Feb 18, 2025

Raging Moderates: What’s Trump’s Endgame in Ukraine?

Explore the tense dynamics within the Republican Party, Trump's controversial foreign policy claims on Ukraine, and the impact of media messaging on political discourse, with insights from Jessica Tarlov and Tim Miller on the challenges facing anti-Trump Republicans and the implications for US-European alliances and US-China relations.
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  • Ukraine Talks

    and discuss recent claims of progress in Ukraine talks, highlighting his interactions with . Trump asserts a productive call with Putin, suggesting a potential peace deal, which raises concerns about the implications for US-European alliances 1. points out the mixed signals from the White House, indicating a shift in American foreign policy that seems sympathetic to autocrats 2. This shift is seen as a departure from traditional American values post-World War II.

    We're having a bilateral with the Russians who invaded Ukraine and who we are sanctioning currently to try to cut a deal that Ukraine isn't even at the table for.

    ---

    The discussion underscores the potential isolation of European allies and the strategic implications of Trump's outreach to Russia.

       

    European Response

    European leaders are grappling with the ramifications of Trump's foreign policy moves, particularly concerning military alliances and peace initiatives. notes that is advocating for a unified European armed force, reflecting a shift in reliance away from the US 3. suggests that this could lead Europe to take more responsibility for its defense, though it may have negative consequences for US-European relations.

    When countries like the United States cease to be pillars, there is nothing to hope for.

    --- Anna Murlakina

    This sentiment highlights the potential for Europe to prepare for a future where they might need to act independently of US support.

       

    Taiwan Policy

    draws parallels between Trump's stance on Ukraine and his approach to Taiwan, suggesting a similar reluctance to engage in defense commitments. He notes that Trump's rhetoric on Taiwan focuses on economic issues rather than defense, indicating a potential unwillingness to support Taiwan in a conflict with China 4. This stance raises questions about the future of US-China relations and the security of Taiwan.

    If push comes to shove, if I'm Xi, I'm like, these guys aren't going to go to bat over Taiwan.

    ---

    The discussion suggests that Trump's "America First" policy could lead to significant geopolitical shifts, particularly in Asia.

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