Published Nov 7, 2022

Prof G Markets: Upheaval at Twitter, Airbnb and Uber Earnings, and the Chinese Markets

Scott Galloway and Ed Elson delve into Elon Musk's dramatic Twitter shake-up, dissect Airbnb and Uber earnings, and provide a comprehensive analysis of the Chinese market under Xi Jinping's rule.
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  • Earnings Report

    Airbnb recently posted record quarterly revenues of $2.9 billion, up 29% from the previous year, and earnings of $1.79 per share, surpassing expectations. Despite these impressive figures, the company fell short on its guidance for the next quarter, projecting $1.8 billion in revenue against Wall Street's expectation of $1.85 billion. attributes the stock's 20% drop to rising interest rates and recession fears, which could reduce discretionary spending on travel 1. He emphasizes that market dynamics often overshadow individual performance, even when earnings are strong 2.

    It's hard to find anything bad in these earnings, and yet the stock has been taken down 20%.

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    Scott believes that Airbnb's strong performance makes it one of the best-performing companies globally, despite the market's harsh reaction 2.

       

    Market Position

    Airbnb's competitive positioning is bolstered by its ability to avoid the high customer acquisition costs that plague other online businesses. highlights that over 90% of Airbnb's customers come directly to their site, bypassing the tolls imposed by giants like Google and Meta 3. This advantage contributes to their impressive 41% net margins, far surpassing competitors like Expedia, which has negative margins.

    Airbnb has been able to escape the stranglehold. People go direct to the site Airbnb so they don't have to pay this toll for 90% of their business.

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    Scott also points out that Airbnb's cash reserves and brand strength position it well against other travel companies, making it a standout in the industry 4.

       

    Future Outlook

    Looking ahead, remains optimistic about Airbnb's long-term prospects. He believes that the company's strong fundamentals and growth trajectory will eventually align with its valuation, making it a solid long-term investment 4. Despite current market volatility, Scott is confident that Airbnb's unique market position and profitability will drive future success.

    I think to own the biggest and best profitable company that's growing 30% a year, I think eventually those metrics or those numbers grow into the valuation and take it up from here.

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    He advises holding onto Airbnb stock, citing its potential for continued growth and market leadership 5.

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